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Thursday, April 17, 2025

The Balkans are about to explode, a conflict could start in BiH

Vučić said that the arrest of Dodik, Stevandic and Viskovic would be a “complete disaster.” And, by talking about the “catastrophe” that threatens Bosnia and Herzegovina, Vučić is actually distorting the facts because with such a narrative he shifts the responsibility to those responsible for enforcing the law from those whose behavior is causing the crisis.

Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić is facing systemic problems in his own court, but instead of solving the problems of his country, Vučić, immersed in the medieval role of the “ruler of all Serbs”, is trying to control the legal and political processes in Bosnia and Herzegovina, writes “Klix” from Sarajevo. Vučić is probably used to the fact that in a country like Serbia he has full control not only over the political processes but also over the judicial system, so it is not surprising that he is trying to influence the proceedings initiated against the renegade leadership of Republika Srpska, writes “Klix”. In his latest, regular intervention, Vučić decided to comment on the mandate of the international EUFOR mission, which is a direct attack on the security architecture of Bosnia and Herzegovina, built on the foundations of the Dayton Peace Agreement. The situation seems tense and everywhere there is talk of the outbreak of a new war, with the “blessing” of Russian President Vladimir Putin.

DODIK’S REACTION

Vučić has said that the arrest warrants issued for Dodik, Všković and Stevanđić are a big problem for Serbia and that he will discuss this with the Europeans to find a way to reduce tensions. In the coming days, Vučić is scheduled to meet with European Union leaders Ursula von der Leyen, Antonija Košta and Marta Kos in Brussels, but it is unclear how the EU leadership can “reduce tensions” without brutally violating the BiH legal system.

The independence of the judiciary is one of the main prerequisites that Bosnia and Herzegovina must fulfill on its path to the European Union. Vučić then said that the arrest of Dodik, Stevandić and Višković would be a “complete disaster”. By talking about the “catastrophe” that threatens Bosnia and Herzegovina, Vučić is actually distorting the facts because with such a narrative he shifts the responsibility to those responsible for implementing the law from those whose behavior is causing the crisis.

WAR PROVOCATION

It is Vučić, Dodik who are provoking bad emotions and shaping the state of mind of the nation. That is, by saying “they do not want conflict”, a story about the possibility of conflict is being shaped in the public space and this is exactly what they want to become a topic in order to prevent a “greater evil” in the current complicated moment of security and politics for Europe, to fulfill their needs and to permanently cripple the institutions and legal system of Bosnia and Herzegovina. There is no doubt that Vučić will try to present himself as a “peacemaker” in the talks in Brussels, but even though peace is the ultimate goal and from an objective point of view it is difficult to believe that it can be seriously threatened, peace should not be an excuse for the destruction of the state.

ARMED CONFLICT

“Let’s hope that an armed conflict in BiH will not happen, but it could easily happen. Putin holds the key to a large extent and if he is happy with that conflict, he will support Dodik in the next steps that will lead to the separation of Republika Srpska. Croatia will not attack RS in that case,” says Prof. Miomir Žužul, former Minister of Foreign Affairs and former Croatian Ambassador to the US and the UN.

“I am afraid that Dodik and the authorities in Serbia will react the way the big boss from the North tells them. The Dayton talks, the immutability of borders was accepted as dogma. Croatia has its voice in the European Union and NATO and it must speak out because it is in the interest of the Croatian state, but also of the Croats in Bosnia and Herzegovina, whom it is obliged to take care of. This does not mean that Croatia should prepare three divisions in case it is invaded,” concludes Žužul.

Vučić said that the arrest of Dodik, Stevandic and Viskovic would be a “complete disaster.” And, by talking about the “catastrophe” that threatens Bosnia and Herzegovina, Vučić is actually distorting the facts because with such a narrative he shifts the responsibility to those responsible for enforcing the law from those whose behavior is causing the crisis.

Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić is facing systemic problems in his own court, but instead of solving the problems of his country, Vučić, immersed in the medieval role of the “ruler of all Serbs”, is trying to control the legal and political processes in Bosnia and Herzegovina, writes “Klix” from Sarajevo. Vučić is probably used to the fact that in a country like Serbia he has full control not only over the political processes but also over the judicial system, so it is not surprising that he is trying to influence the proceedings initiated against the renegade leadership of Republika Srpska, writes “Klix”. In his latest, regular intervention, Vučić decided to comment on the mandate of the international EUFOR mission, which is a direct attack on the security architecture of Bosnia and Herzegovina, built on the foundations of the Dayton Peace Agreement. The situation seems tense and everywhere there is talk of the outbreak of a new war, with the “blessing” of Russian President Vladimir Putin.

DODIK’S REACTION

Vučić has said that the arrest warrants issued for Dodik, Všković and Stevanđić are a big problem for Serbia and that he will discuss this with the Europeans to find a way to reduce tensions. In the coming days, Vučić is scheduled to meet with European Union leaders Ursula von der Leyen, Antonija Košta and Marta Kos in Brussels, but it is unclear how the EU leadership can “reduce tensions” without brutally violating the BiH legal system.

The independence of the judiciary is one of the main prerequisites that Bosnia and Herzegovina must fulfill on its path to the European Union. Vučić then said that the arrest of Dodik, Stevandić and Višković would be a “complete disaster”. By talking about the “catastrophe” that threatens Bosnia and Herzegovina, Vučić is actually distorting the facts because with such a narrative he shifts the responsibility to those responsible for implementing the law from those whose behavior is causing the crisis.

WAR PROVOCATION

It is Vučić, Dodik who are provoking bad emotions and shaping the state of mind of the nation. That is, by saying “they do not want conflict”, a story about the possibility of conflict is being shaped in the public space and this is exactly what they want to become a topic in order to prevent a “greater evil” in the current complicated moment of security and politics for Europe, to fulfill their needs and to permanently cripple the institutions and legal system of Bosnia and Herzegovina. There is no doubt that Vučić will try to present himself as a “peacemaker” in the talks in Brussels, but even though peace is the ultimate goal and from an objective point of view it is difficult to believe that it can be seriously threatened, peace should not be an excuse for the destruction of the state.

ARMED CONFLICT

“Let’s hope that an armed conflict in BiH will not happen, but it could easily happen. Putin holds the key to a large extent and if he is happy with that conflict, he will support Dodik in the next steps that will lead to the separation of Republika Srpska. Croatia will not attack RS in that case,” says Prof. Miomir Žužul, former Minister of Foreign Affairs and former Croatian Ambassador to the US and the UN.

“I am afraid that Dodik and the authorities in Serbia will react the way the big boss from the North tells them. The Dayton talks, the immutability of borders was accepted as dogma. Croatia has its voice in the European Union and NATO and it must speak out because it is in the interest of the Croatian state, but also of the Croats in Bosnia and Herzegovina, whom it is obliged to take care of. This does not mean that Croatia should prepare three divisions in case it is invaded,” concludes Žužul.

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